H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Damage ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less certain. Tammy was initially anticipated to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer guidance is now suggesting that the storm might drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and exceptionally effective cyclone that triggered huge destruction and substantial death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood protection system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane cautions have actually now been issued for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates hurricane conditions are anticipated in a few of these areas. You can see the most recent cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy should spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were occurring over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a hurricane that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the hurricane center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has activated cyclone warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a danger to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained optimal continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to typhoon expert Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone experts previously alerted hurricanes could form in unusual areas later on in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious dangers and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy